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December 1, 2009 / Dave Gorham

Winter Weather Event for Southeast Texas on Friday?

The GFS, and to some extent the European and Canadian models, continues to advertise a rather significant winter weather event across southeast Texas this coming Friday.   Though the 12Z GFS run has not completed, the 00Z run paints a bullseye of 4-6 inches of snow across southeast Texas, just to the northwest of Houston.  Across the Greater Houston area, amounts are predicted to range between a trace and 4 inches, as indicated by the graphic below:

One caveat is that we’re seeing significant changes from one model run to the next.  Changes such as the area of highest snowfall shifting from east of Houston to northwest of Houston within a single model run.  With that much divergence from one model run to another, we really can’t be confident just what part of southeast Texas will receive the greatest accumulations – or if the area will receive any snow at all.



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